UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Pacific
  
Pacific               
W-L: ( 2-12) PR = 89.7297

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 0- 8 214 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 0- 5 214 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 6- 9 215 A Arizona State B12 (45-18, 96.4) 0- 8 222 A Arkansas-Pine Bluff SWAC ( 0- 6, 85.0) 1- 0 227 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 4- 5 228 H Fresno State MW (22-23, 91.6) 0- 3 307 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 5- 2 307 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 0- 7 308 H Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 3- 5 310 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 5- 6 317 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 1- 5 414 A Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 1- 6 429 H Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 2- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A Indiana                 0- 8      -8    -7          -0.75
   214 H Nevada                  0- 5      -5    -5          -0.03
   214 A Arizona State           6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.46
   215 A Arizona State           0- 8      -8    -7          -0.54
   227 H Fresno State            4- 5      -1    -1           0.12
   228 H Fresno State            0- 3      -3    -1          -1.88
   307 H Utah Valley             5- 2       3    -1    +      3.85
   307 H Utah Valley             0- 7      -7    -1    ---   -6.15
   308 H Utah Valley             3- 5      -2    -1          -1.15
   310 H California              5- 6      -1    -1          -0.14
   317 H Nevada                  1- 5      -4    -5           0.97
   414 A Nevada                  1- 6      -5    -6           1.46
   429 H Indiana                 2- 8      -6    -6          -0.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Utah Valley             0- 7      -7    -1    ---   -6.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Arizona State           6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.46
   307 H Utah Valley             5- 2       3    -1    +      3.85

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Indiana         (41-17, 96.2)     0- 8       -3.67      15.70       0.74         1.80            -2.63
   3 H Nevada          (37-19, 95.4)     0- 5       -4.45      14.92      -0.74         1.80            -4.68
   3 A Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)     6- 9       -3.45      15.92       0.74         1.80            -2.44
   3 A Arizona State   (45-18, 96.4)     0- 8       -3.45      15.92       0.74         1.80            -2.44
   3 A Arkansas-Pine   ( 0- 6, 85.0)     1- 0      -14.91       4.46       0.74         1.80            18.73
   3 H Fresno State    (22-23, 91.6)     4- 5       -8.30      11.07      -0.74         1.80            -8.14
   3 H Fresno State    (22-23, 91.6)     0- 3       -8.30      11.07      -0.74         1.80            -8.14
   3 H Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     5- 2       -8.58      10.79      -0.74         1.80            36.18
   3 H Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     0- 7       -8.58      10.79      -0.74         1.80            -8.39
   3 H Utah Valley     (28-21, 91.3)     3- 5       -8.58      10.79      -0.74         1.80            -8.39
   3 H California      (17-34, 91.3)     5- 6       -8.57      10.80      -0.74         1.80            -8.38
   3 H Nevada          (37-19, 95.4)     1- 5       -4.45      14.92      -0.74         1.80            -4.68
   3 A Nevada          (37-19, 95.4)     1- 6       -4.45      14.92       0.74         1.80            -3.34
   3 H Indiana         (41-17, 96.2)     2- 8       -3.67      15.70      -0.74         1.80            -3.97
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -10.70

winning pts = 54.9123 losing points = -65.6160

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------